TABLE 8.

Results of Sensitivity Analysis Using Monte Carlo Simulation for Cost, Throughput, and Cost-Effectiveness Measures

Cost, Throughput, and Cost-Effectiveness MeasuresBaselineRound 1
Mean (SD)95% CIMean (SD)95% CI
Total cost (Tsh billion)62.6 (2.2)58.3, 67.069.0 (3.1)62.9, 75.1
Total throughput valuea (TSh billion)242.4 (5.6)231.4, 253.3297.7 (7.3)283.4, 311.9
Cost as a percentage of product value, unadjusted25.9% (1.1%)23.7%, 28.0%23.2% (1.2%)20.9%, 25.5%
Cost as a percentage of product value, performance-adjusteda38.2% (1.8%)34.6%, 41.7%29.4% (1.6%)26.3%, 32.4%
  • Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; SD, standard deviation.

  • a Parameter for which there was no overlap in the 95% confidence interval for the baseline and round 1 measures.