TABLE 4 Evaluation of Model Accuracy and Precision | Difference Between Model Estimates and DHS Referent Values | Proportion of Model‐Estimated Values Within 1, 2, and 5 Percentage Points of the DHS Value |
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Model | Maximum Absolute Error (%) | Mean Absolute Error (MAE) (%) | Median Absolute Error (%) | 1 Percentage Point (%) | 2 Percentage Points (%) | 5 Percentage Points (%) |
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Injectables |
Multivariate | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 57 | 89 | 100 |
Bivariate | 7.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 57 | 90 | 97 |
CYP | 8.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 54 | 86 | 93 |
Oral Contraceptives |
Multivariate | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 84 | 92 | 100 |
Bivariate | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 67 | 89 | 100 |
CYP | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 60 | 92 | 100 |
Condoms |
Multivariate | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 92 | 100 | 100 |
Bivariate | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 93 | 100 | 100 |
CYP | 14.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 62 | 77 | 85 |
All Short-Acting Methods |
Multivariate | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 35 | 74 | 100 |
Bivariate | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 40 | 64 | 88 |
CYP | 17.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 43 | 61 | 78 |